Thursday, December 8, 2016

Coin Mining

What is coin mining?

Google "coin mining" and you're going to see page after page of Bitcoin mining websites. That is 100% not what I discuss in this article.

Real coin mining is when someone purchases a large amount of a certain type of coin, wheat pennies, buffalo nickels, mercury dimes, etc., and proceeds to remove all of the better than average value coins. I know this sounds like what many roll or bag searchers do, but there is the added element of speed.

Remember the article I wrote, A Remarkable Machine? This is how that machine is currently used. It isn't that different from actual mining, surface mining in particular. In surface mining (strip mining) layers of the Earth (vegetation, soil, bedrock, etc.,) are peeled away to reach buried ore deposits. In coin mining the average coins are peeled away to reveal the buried key and semi-key dates, mint marks, XF and AU coins, etc.

The element of speed

The average collector sorting coins can process a single coin in 2-3 seconds. Tim Rathjen's machine, the one from the article referenced above, can accurately process 3 coins per second.

By the numbers that is:

Collector -
1 coin per 2.5 seconds
24 coins per minute
1,440 coins per hour
11,520 coins per 8-hour shift

The Machine -
3 coins per second
180 coins per minute
10,800 coins per hour
86,400 coins per 8-hour shift

Please keep in mind the other advantages the machine brings to a coin company.
- It doesn't take breaks except for maintenance.
- It doesn't collect a paycheck.
- It can work 24 hours a day.

Do not be surprised to discover this type of equipment being deployed in large coin companies all over the world in coming years.

What this means for roll and bag searching collectors

There were about 25.8 billion wheat cents minted over the life of the series. At the rate of speed outlined above, it would take the sorting/grading machine around 272 years to go through them all, and that assumes the machine never breaks down or runs the same coins twice. The point I'm trying to make is that there would have to be multiple machines running for many years to dramatically reduce the likelihood of a collector making a good find in a bag or roll of coins. So, no worries right now.

Plus, there are always those folks who don't know any better, end up with a large collection of wheats, and sell in bulk to a coin or pawn shop. That shopkeeper doesn't have time to sort them all by hand, so they are divided up and sold as unsearched bags or rolls.

What this means for those looking to fill album/folder holes

With the machine extracting key and semi key dates, we should slowly see an increase of these coins entering the market. The more examples in the market, theoretically, the lower the price, assuming demand stays roughly the same. So, it should become a little cheaper to fill those more elusive slots in an album or folder. Again, this will take time.

What comes next?

It depends what the plans are for the machine. It is technology that could be licensed, the software and the hardware. What if they create a smaller, easier to transport version of the machine? Retail? Not likely, at least, not soon. We're talking about some expensive equipment that only the largest coin companies would be able to afford right away.

What if PCGS or NGC, or even ICG or ANACS, bought one (or licensed the patent) and worked to modify it specifically for grading coins? What if Tim Rathjen modifies it specifically for grading coins?

Since the software is the toughest part to create but easy to install on future machines, I have to believe they could create multiple units and modify them in different ways with little difficulty.

Or, what if they went mobile? I wrote in Part 3 of my computerized grading series about a company coming out with a grading app and what that might look like. Tim and his crew have certainly developed software that is leaning in that direction. Sure, the software that runs the machine couldn't be loaded onto a smartphone and expected to function. But if the right problems have already been solved, it could be here sooner than we think!

1 comment:

Oded Paz said...

This is VERY interesting indeed!

I look forward to seeing what the future WILL bring us regarding the sorting of coins, and definitely the grading of coins (& currency???).

Oded Paz